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ATs vs QTs equity

Preflop, ATs beats QTs with exact equity 69.75% vs 30.25%: ATs wins 68.86%, QTs wins 29.36%, ties 1.78%. Computed by exhaustively enumerating all 5,136,912 deals.

ATs Win68.86%
QTs Win29.36%
Tie1.78%
ATs Equity (win + tie/2)69.75%
QTs Equity (win + tie/2)30.25%
Boards enumerated5,136,912
Suit combinations3
Losing frequencyATs loses 1 in 3.4

Note: class-average values. Specific suit combinations (e.g. shared suits) shift the numbers by a few tenths of a percent.

FAQ

Who wins more often, ATs or QTs?

ATs is ahead: ATs has 69.75% equity vs 30.25% (exact enumeration).

How often do ATs vs QTs tie?

Ties occur 1.78% of the time (91,566 of 5,136,912 outcomes).

Are these numbers simulated?

No. All 5,136,912 board combinations are exhaustively enumerated — mathematically exact and reproducible.

Figures from app/data/matchup-matrix (exhaustive engine scripts/gen-matchup-matrix.mjs, cross-validated against lib/poker-equity.ts)

Cite this page: Pailiku, “ATs vs QTs equity”, pailiku.com/matchups/ats-vs-qts (2026).