Daily Puzzle — 2026-10-01
You have 12 outs on the turn (river only). What is the exact probability of hitting?
You have 12 outs on the turn (river only). What is the exact probability of hitting?
Answer & explanation
A. 26.09% — Rule of 2&4 approximates 24%; the exact hypergeometric value is 26.09% (error 2.09%, 46 unseen cards).
Source: poker-math.ts:ruleOf2And4