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AA vs TT equity

Preflop, AA beats TT with exact equity 80.75% vs 19.25%: AA wins 80.56%, TT wins 19.06%, ties 0.38%. Computed by exhaustively enumerating all 10,273,824 deals.

AA Win80.56%
TT Win19.06%
Tie0.38%
AA Equity (win + tie/2)80.75%
TT Equity (win + tie/2)19.25%
Boards enumerated10,273,824
Suit combinations6
Losing frequencyAA loses 1 in 5.2

Note: class-average values. Specific suit combinations (e.g. shared suits) shift the numbers by a few tenths of a percent.

FAQ

Who wins more often, AA or TT?

AA is ahead: AA has 80.75% equity vs 19.25% (exact enumeration).

How often do AA vs TT tie?

Ties occur 0.38% of the time (38,826 of 10,273,824 outcomes).

Are these numbers simulated?

No. All 10,273,824 board combinations are exhaustively enumerated — mathematically exact and reproducible.

Figures from app/data/matchup-matrix (exhaustive engine scripts/gen-matchup-matrix.mjs, cross-validated against lib/poker-equity.ts)

Cite this page: Pailiku, “AA vs TT equity”, pailiku.com/matchups/aa-vs-tt (2026).