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Expected value (EV)

The average long-run result of a decision, weighing each outcome by its probability.

In depth

Expected value (EV) is the long-term average outcome of a decision, calculated by weighting each possible result by its probability. It provides a mathematical framework to assess the profitability of choices over repeated trials, distinguishing consistent gains from short-term variance. EV reflects probability-weighted averages rather than single-event results, guiding strategic evaluation in decision-making.

Chinese: 期望值 (EV)