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AA vs QTs equity

Preflop, AA beats QTs with exact equity 80.48% vs 19.52%: AA wins 80.29%, QTs wins 19.32%, ties 0.39%. Computed by exhaustively enumerating all 6,849,216 deals.

AA Win80.29%
QTs Win19.32%
Tie0.39%
AA Equity (win + tie/2)80.48%
QTs Equity (win + tie/2)19.52%
Boards enumerated6,849,216
Suit combinations4
Losing frequencyAA loses 1 in 5.2

Note: class-average values. Specific suit combinations (e.g. shared suits) shift the numbers by a few tenths of a percent.

FAQ

Who wins more often, AA or QTs?

AA is ahead: AA has 80.48% equity vs 19.52% (exact enumeration).

How often do AA vs QTs tie?

Ties occur 0.39% of the time (26,500 of 6,849,216 outcomes).

Are these numbers simulated?

No. All 6,849,216 board combinations are exhaustively enumerated — mathematically exact and reproducible.

Figures from app/data/matchup-matrix (exhaustive engine scripts/gen-matchup-matrix.mjs, cross-validated against lib/poker-equity.ts)

Cite this page: Pailiku, “AA vs QTs equity”, pailiku.com/matchups/aa-vs-qts (2026).