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Daily Puzzle — 2026-09-11

You have 15 outs on the flop (turn + river to come). What is the exact probability of hitting?

You have 15 outs on the flop (turn + river to come). What is the exact probability of hitting?

Answer & explanation

C. 54.12% — Rule of 2&4 approximates 60%; the exact hypergeometric value is 54.12% (error 5.88%, 47 unseen cards).

Source: poker-math.ts:ruleOf2And4

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