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AA vs ATs equity

Preflop, AA beats ATs with exact equity 86.66% vs 13.34%: AA wins 86.05%, ATs wins 12.72%, ties 1.22%. Computed by exhaustively enumerating all 3,424,608 deals.

AA Win86.05%
ATs Win12.72%
Tie1.22%
AA Equity (win + tie/2)86.66%
ATs Equity (win + tie/2)13.34%
Boards enumerated3,424,608
Suit combinations2
Losing frequencyAA loses 1 in 7.9

Note: class-average values. Specific suit combinations (e.g. shared suits) shift the numbers by a few tenths of a percent.

FAQ

Who wins more often, AA or ATs?

AA is ahead: AA has 86.66% equity vs 13.34% (exact enumeration).

How often do AA vs ATs tie?

Ties occur 1.22% of the time (41,878 of 3,424,608 outcomes).

Are these numbers simulated?

No. All 3,424,608 board combinations are exhaustively enumerated — mathematically exact and reproducible.

Figures from app/data/matchup-matrix (exhaustive engine scripts/gen-matchup-matrix.mjs, cross-validated against lib/poker-equity.ts)

Cite this page: Pailiku, “AA vs ATs equity”, pailiku.com/matchups/aa-vs-ats (2026).