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AQs vs ATs equity

Preflop, AQs beats ATs with exact equity 70.55% vs 29.45%: AQs wins 67.91%, ATs wins 26.81%, ties 5.28%. Computed by exhaustively enumerating all 5,136,912 deals.

AQs Win67.91%
ATs Win26.81%
Tie5.28%
AQs Equity (win + tie/2)70.55%
ATs Equity (win + tie/2)29.45%
Boards enumerated5,136,912
Suit combinations3
Losing frequencyAQs loses 1 in 3.7

Note: class-average values. Specific suit combinations (e.g. shared suits) shift the numbers by a few tenths of a percent.

FAQ

Who wins more often, AQs or ATs?

AQs is ahead: AQs has 70.55% equity vs 29.45% (exact enumeration).

How often do AQs vs ATs tie?

Ties occur 5.28% of the time (271,077 of 5,136,912 outcomes).

Are these numbers simulated?

No. All 5,136,912 board combinations are exhaustively enumerated — mathematically exact and reproducible.

Figures from app/data/matchup-matrix (exhaustive engine scripts/gen-matchup-matrix.mjs, cross-validated against lib/poker-equity.ts)

Cite this page: Pailiku, “AQs vs ATs equity”, pailiku.com/matchups/aqs-vs-ats (2026).