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AQs vs 99 equity

Preflop, AQs beats 99 with exact equity 47.30% vs 52.70%: AQs wins 47.10%, 99 wins 52.49%, ties 0.40%. Computed by exhaustively enumerating all 10,273,824 deals.

AQs Win47.10%
99 Win52.49%
Tie0.40%
AQs Equity (win + tie/2)47.30%
99 Equity (win + tie/2)52.70%
Boards enumerated10,273,824
Suit combinations6
Losing frequencyAQs loses 1 in 1.9

Note: class-average values. Specific suit combinations (e.g. shared suits) shift the numbers by a few tenths of a percent.

FAQ

Who wins more often, AQs or 99?

99 is ahead: AQs has 47.30% equity vs 52.70% (exact enumeration).

How often do AQs vs 99 tie?

Ties occur 0.40% of the time (41,601 of 10,273,824 outcomes).

Are these numbers simulated?

No. All 10,273,824 board combinations are exhaustively enumerated — mathematically exact and reproducible.

Figures from app/data/matchup-matrix (exhaustive engine scripts/gen-matchup-matrix.mjs, cross-validated against lib/poker-equity.ts)

Cite this page: Pailiku, “AQs vs 99 equity”, pailiku.com/matchups/aqs-vs-99 (2026).