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AKs vs ATs equity

Preflop, AKs beats ATs with exact equity 70.74% vs 29.26%: AKs wins 68.64%, ATs wins 27.15%, ties 4.21%. Computed by exhaustively enumerating all 5,136,912 deals.

AKs Win68.64%
ATs Win27.15%
Tie4.21%
AKs Equity (win + tie/2)70.74%
ATs Equity (win + tie/2)29.26%
Boards enumerated5,136,912
Suit combinations3
Losing frequencyAKs loses 1 in 3.7

Note: class-average values. Specific suit combinations (e.g. shared suits) shift the numbers by a few tenths of a percent.

FAQ

Who wins more often, AKs or ATs?

AKs is ahead: AKs has 70.74% equity vs 29.26% (exact enumeration).

How often do AKs vs ATs tie?

Ties occur 4.21% of the time (216,342 of 5,136,912 outcomes).

Are these numbers simulated?

No. All 5,136,912 board combinations are exhaustively enumerated — mathematically exact and reproducible.

Figures from app/data/matchup-matrix (exhaustive engine scripts/gen-matchup-matrix.mjs, cross-validated against lib/poker-equity.ts)

Cite this page: Pailiku, “AKs vs ATs equity”, pailiku.com/matchups/aks-vs-ats (2026).