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Daily Puzzle — 2026-09-23

You have 11 outs on the turn (river only). What is the exact probability of hitting?

You have 11 outs on the turn (river only). What is the exact probability of hitting?

Answer & explanation

B. 23.91% — Rule of 2&4 approximates 22%; the exact hypergeometric value is 23.91% (error 1.91%, 46 unseen cards).

Source: poker-math.ts:ruleOf2And4

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